Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 16.054488 18.152456 20.366094 22.870369 25.619123 28.538753 31.868699
2025-02-02 14.185317 17.297713 20.778669 24.938085 29.749580 35.116719 41.531705
2025-02-09 12.308249 16.085245 20.537866 26.121442 32.879264 40.735356 50.495960
2025-02-16 10.379674 14.498810 19.603414 26.297731 34.739831 44.921963 58.009122
2025-02-23 8.617166 12.845777 18.344486 25.867055 35.721693 48.012511 64.297873
2025-03-02 7.269996 11.532410 17.332563 25.583952 36.773685 51.154176 70.726585
2025-03-09 6.305265 10.601423 16.698276 25.685372 38.255340 54.841902 77.950532
2025-03-16 5.405032 9.631557 15.883381 25.421907 39.162914 57.751929 84.221114
2025-03-23 5.017940 9.386748 16.074211 26.567514 42.046660 63.405274 94.344103
2025-03-30 4.479013 8.822133 15.713968 26.846750 43.672757 67.359835 102.267995
2025-04-06 3.787431 7.903960 14.702061 26.037204 43.623072 68.914579 106.872435
2025-04-13 3.173588 7.029313 13.660402 25.073717 43.244443 69.928640 110.689814
2025-04-20 2.983475 6.917584 13.895289 26.194252 46.153351 75.916465 121.969000
2025-04-27 2.983598 7.169584 14.773385 28.422381 50.896715 84.800251 137.767604
2025-05-04 2.829844 7.096604 15.069313 29.689496 54.173374 91.605008 150.736117
2025-05-11 2.537664 6.698343 14.738325 29.856318 55.676536 95.764567 159.902779
2025-05-18 2.198727 6.146180 14.062798 29.361955 56.052320 98.181348 166.503710
2025-05-25 1.923242 5.687402 13.513262 29.038211 56.672087 100.971536 173.726180
2025-06-01 1.726608 5.377023 13.218748 29.144702 58.002507 104.899985 182.777677
2025-06-08 1.515063 4.992798 12.732283 28.849258 58.608815 107.669392 190.084023
2025-06-15 1.460866 4.998854 13.057789 30.116101 61.999779 115.047829 204.820150
2025-06-22 1.332500 4.787892 12.897666 30.423950 63.690490 119.683051 215.316765
2025-06-29 1.130391 4.334925 12.157836 29.526849 63.154813 120.598744 219.869746